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Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05 - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 26

Bundesliga - Gameweek 26

Sunday, 15 Mar 2026 • 14:00

Werder Bremen

0 : 2

FSV Mainz 05

Goals

6'
0 : 1
Paul Nebel
0 : 1
Paul Nebel6'
52'
0 : 2
Jae-Sung Lee
0 : 2
Jae-Sung Lee52'

Game Review

FSV Mainz 05 secured a crucial 2-0 victory over Werder Bremen in their Bundesliga clash on Sunday, 15 March 2026. The match, held at Werder Bremen's home ground, saw Mainz take control early on and maintain their advantage throughout the game. This result was somewhat expected given Mainz's recent form, as they came into the match with a solid run of performances. The game started with a bang for Mainz, as Paul Nebel (GAP +1.1%) found the back of the net in the 6th minute, setting the tone for the visitors. Werder Bremen struggled to respond effectively, with their attacking efforts falling short against a well-organized Mainz defense. The second half saw Jae-Sung Lee (GAP +1.7%) double Mainz's lead in the 52nd minute, further solidifying their dominance. In terms of tactical setup, Werder Bremen's manager made several changes during the match, bringing in Patrice Čović, Isaac Schmidt, Mick Schmetgens, and Justin Njinmah from the bench. However, these substitutions did not significantly alter the course of the game. Mainz's head coach also utilized his bench effectively, introducing Kacper Potulski, Nikolas Veratschnig, Lennard Maloney, Sota Kawasaki, and Nelson Weiper to maintain their grip on the match. Key performances included Dominik Kohr (GAP +4.9%), who was instrumental in midfield for Mainz, providing stability and linking play effectively. On the other hand, Werder Bremen's Leonardo Bittencourt (GAP -2.9%) struggled to make an impact, reflecting the home side's overall difficulties in breaking down Mainz's defense. This victory propels Mainz further up the Bundesliga table, enhancing their chances of securing a European spot. For Werder Bremen, this defeat highlights the need for tactical adjustments as they aim to improve their standing in the league. With only a few matches left in the season, both teams will be looking to capitalize on their remaining fixtures to achieve their respective goals.

Lineups

Werder Bremen

PosPlayer
GK
Mio Backhaus
DEF
Marco Friedl
DEF
Yukinari Sugawara
DEF
Julián Malatini
MID
Leonardo Bittencourt
MID
Romano Schmid
MID
Jens Stage
MID
Cameron Puertas
FWD
Marco Grüll
FWD
Olivier Deman
FWD
Keke Topp

Substitutes

46'Justin Njinmahfor Keke Topp
55'Mick Schmetgensfor Julián Malatini
69'Patrice Čovićfor Leonardo Bittencourt
69'Isaac Schmidtfor Yukinari Sugawara

FSV Mainz 05

PosPlayer
GK
Daniel Batz
DEF
Danny da Costa
DEF
Silvan Widmer
DEF
Stefan Posch
DEF
Phillipp Mwene
MID
Dominik Kohr
MID
Jae-Sung Lee
MID
Paul Nebel
MID
Kaishu Sano
FWD
Sheraldo Becker
FWD
Phillip Tietz

Substitutes

72'Nelson Weiperfor Phillip Tietz
72'Nikolas Veratschnigfor Phillipp Mwene
81'Kacper Potulskifor Silvan Widmer
87'Lennard Maloneyfor Sheraldo Becker
87'Sota Kawasakifor Jae-Sung Lee
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
13FSV Mainz 052669113141-1027
L
D
D
D
W
15Werder Bremen2667132947-1825
L
L
W
W
L

Last Games

Werder Bremen

@Union Berlin
4 - 1
vsFC Heidenheim
2 - 0
@St. Pauli
1 - 2
vsFC Bayern München
0 - 3
@SC Freiburg
0 - 1

FSV Mainz 05

vsVfB Stuttgart
2 - 2
@Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1 - 1
vsHamburger SV
1 - 1
@Borussia Dortmund
0 - 4
vsFC Augsburg
2 - 0

Head-to-Head

15 Mar 2026
Werder Bremen0 - 2FSV Mainz 05
15 Mar 2026Werder Bremen
0 - 2
FSV Mainz 05
01 Nov 2025
FSV Mainz 051 - 1Werder Bremen
01 Nov 2025FSV Mainz 05
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
31 Jan 2025
Werder Bremen1 - 0FSV Mainz 05
31 Jan 2025Werder Bremen
1 - 0
FSV Mainz 05
15 Sept 2024
FSV Mainz 051 - 2Werder Bremen
15 Sept 2024FSV Mainz 05
1 - 2
Werder Bremen
03 Feb 2024
FSV Mainz 050 - 1Werder Bremen
03 Feb 2024FSV Mainz 05
0 - 1
Werder Bremen

Bundesliga

Gameweek 26

13 Mar • 20:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
2 - 0
14 Mar • 15:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Bayern München
1 - 1
14 Mar • 15:30
Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg
2 - 0
14 Mar • 15:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Heidenheim
1 - 0
14 Mar • 15:30
1899 Hoffenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
1 - 1
14 Mar • 18:30
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
1 - 1
15 Mar • 14:00
VfB Stuttgart
RB Leipzig
1 - 0
15 Mar • 14:00
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
0 - 2
15 Mar • 14:00
SC Freiburg
Union Berlin
0 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.